February 3, 2008

obama > clinton (a proof)

a proof in support of the mathematical equation: 
obama > clinton 

for the independents and democrats who are undecided about the 2008 primary, i have some words of advice: please vote for obama. 

not sold yet? ok, here's why: a clinton nomination is a de facto vote for at least four more years of republican presidency. clinton cannot win the general election. 

this is not a criticism of clinton's policies or principles. i could spend time highlighting the ideological and policy differences between obama and clinton, but the fact is that those differences are almost negligible beyond the democratic primaries. as general election candidates, they would be fairly similar from a policy perspective. both are intelligent, capable leaders. the difference is in their political approaches and reputations. whereas clinton is fiercely polarizing, obama has bipartisan appeal. obama has a unique desire and ability to work with both sides of the aisle to approach complex policy problems. not only does he have the ability to unite people within this country, but his non-divisive style and rhetoric will go a long way towards uniting this country with our estranged allies across the world.

while obama unites america, clinton unites the GOP. should she be the nominee, the fractured republican party will undoubtedly come out in droves, unified again for a cause they can all believe in: defeating clinton. if a mccain-clinton line-up is on the ballot in november, i predict record GOP turnout, GOP absorption of independent voters, and an apathetic democratic electorate.

still need more proof that obama is a better candidate than clinton? i have some anecdotes... 

1. the right hates clinton, but kinda likes obama
i was on facebook
the other day, and saw that my mormon cousin was part of a group called Mormons Against Mitt. the group's founders deride romney for his lack of "moral values" and his "selfish ambition." while perusing the group's page, i looked under "Related Groups" to find that Stop Hillary Clinton: (One Million Strong AGAINST Hillary) was the closest match based on group membership.

the second best match? Barack Obama (One Million Strong for Barack) 

2. clinton's baggage will take her down
sources within the republican party admit that they fear an obama victory in the democratic primaries because, quote, "we barely have anything on him." in contrast, their political operatives are salivating at the prospect of a clinton nomination. "let me put it this way," one source said, "we're going to cream her."
 

don't think my sources are reliable? you can read about it here. 

3. polls show clinton losing to mccain
realclearpolitics
has been tracking polls on potential general election match-ups. both clinton and obama appear to handily defeat romney and huckabee (it is interesting to note that obama's wins are by a much larger spread). however, since mccain is almost a shoo-in for the GOP nomination, it's more pertinent to examine his numbers. obama consistently does better against mccain than clinton. if you look at the five most recent polls, clinton loses to mccain every single time. in the mccain-obama match ups, it's a tie. clearly a primary vote for obama doesn't ensure a democratic president, but at least he presents a fighting chance to reverse the last eight years of republican rule.


4. clinton's "strengths" become weaknesses
all of the qualities that clinton touts to paint herself as a stronger candidate than obama become moot in a mccain-clinton general match-up. her political experience and national defense acumen look paltry and petty next to mccain. she'll have to fight to avoid perception that she's a second-rate version of another old-school politician. although mccain's political resume and military strength greatly outweigh obama's, at least obama brings a fresh perspective to the table, heralding a new approach to politics and leadership. he positions himself as something different from mccain, thus making the election a true competition. 


5. clinton can’t win independents
to compete against mccain the democratic candidate will need to have wide appeal not only within the party, but outside of it as well. the candidate will need to be able to change the minds of independent voters, encouraging them to support democrats in november. mccain has traditionally been a magnet for independents, so it is going to be a challenge for any democrat to compete with him for independent voters. however, obama’s fresh approach to politics puts him in a much more favorable position. not only is clinton a polarizing candidate, but 91% of those polled by Time say they already know enough about her to form an opinion. that is, they’re not likely to change their minds. contrastingly, obama has a positive image, and there are still 51% that haven’t yet formed their opinions about him. (source
)

i hope i’ve made a compelling argument and that you’re closer to making a decision for the primary. and i really hope you’ve decided to support obama. i do.

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